Global Think Tank & Policy Studies

    From Reactive Government to Anticipatory Public Services

    The Zero-Click Government Institute explores how data, artificial intelligence and digital public infrastructure can enable governments to act before citizens need to ask.

    "If governments know enough to anticipate risk, the real question is why they still wait for citizens to ask."

    Gustavo Moreira Maia·Zero-Click Government

    The Problem

    Governments still wait for citizens to ask

    States have digitalized processes, but they remain fundamentally reactive. What was digitized was the form, not the service. The underlying logic remained the same.

    Rights arrive late. Services require navigation. Inequality compounds through friction. The bureaucracy ceases to be merely an instrument of implementation and begins to act as a selective mechanism.

    "She was seven months pregnant when she lost her job. The income disappeared in the same month. From the State's perspective, nothing had started yet. The first appointment at social assistance came weeks later. The benefit was granted, within the predicted deadlines. When the resources finally arrived, her son had already been born and the debts had already been contracted. The right was recognized. The moment when it would have made a difference had already passed."

    Zero-Click Government, Ch. 4: Administrative Time and Social Time

    When public action depends on the request, the effort to activate the State is shifted to the individual.

    Existing social differences become differences in access to rights themselves. Administrative complexity operates as a silent filter. It does not exclude explicitly. It produces delay, withdrawal, and invisibility.

    Administrative time is organized in stages, deadlines and validation rites.

    Social time is marked by events, ruptures and urgencies. When these two temporal regimes do not meet, a policy can exist, a service can be rendered, and yet fail to produce the effect that justified its existence.

    The problem is not technology. It is institutional timing.

    The Thesis

    What is Zero-Click Government?

    Government recognizes life events automatically

    Services activate without citizen requests

    Data infrastructure enables anticipation

    Citizens receive rights without friction

    "The transition toward proactive government is not a political choice or a technological experiment. It is the natural consequence of an expanding institutional capacity."

    When states possess the information necessary to recognize relevant events in people's lives, the question shifts from whether they can act earlier to how that capacity should be exercised responsibly.

    The Challenges Ahead

    With great capacity comes new responsibilities

    Normative Questions

    When should the state act without being asked? Anticipation expands the field of political responsibility in ways democratic theory is still working through.

    Political Coordination

    Acting on life events requires siloed agencies to operate in concert. This is a profound challenge to the fragmented architecture of modern government.

    Power & Data Governance

    The same infrastructures enabling timely help may concentrate informational power in unprecedented ways, raising questions of oversight and democratic control.

    Paradoxes of Capacity

    Greater capacity to help creates greater capacity to intervene. Systems that reduce inequality can also produce new forms of intrusion if not governed carefully.

    Accountability Without Requests

    When government acts before being asked, who is responsible? Automated action requires new frameworks for transparency, redress, and legitimacy.

    A proactive state must never become an intrusive state. A capable state must remain a responsible state. And a technologically sophisticated government must always remain, above all, a human one.

    Research

    Research and Ideas

    "The principal limitation of contemporary digital government does not lie in the absence of technological tools, but in the persistence of an action model structured to respond after the request, and not to recognize the context."

    World Economic ForumMarch 2026

    How AI and digital infrastructure can help governments act before citizens ask

    Gustavo Maia · World Economic Forum

    5 min read

    Implementation Lab

    From theory to implementation

    The Implementation Lab works with governments to design and test proactive public services.

    "The challenge is not to eliminate the State nor to dissolve its responsibilities, but to reorganize its action so that public presence ceases to be episodic and becomes structural in the promotion of rights and reduction of inequalities."

    Pilots

    Real-world experiments in anticipatory governance

    Tools

    Frameworks and instruments for proactive service design

    Playbooks

    Step-by-step guides for government teams

    Pilot: Niterói, proactive urban services

    Global Observatory

    Where proactive government is emerging

    Governments around the world are beginning to experiment with anticipatory public services.

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    Estonia

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    Singapore

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    Barcelona

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    Piauí, Brazil

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    Canada

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    UAE

    Debates

    Debates and Dialogues

    Understanding Anticipatory Governance

    David Guston

    Understanding Anticipatory Governance

    David Guston explains the foundations of anticipatory governance and why governments must think proactively about emerging technologies.

    Humans and Algorithms: Government Services in an AI Era

    Mo Gawdat

    Humans and Algorithms: Government Services in an AI Era

    Mo Gawdat discusses how artificial intelligence is transforming government services and what it means for the future of public administration.

    Policymaking by Other Means: Administrative Burden

    Don Moynihan

    Policymaking by Other Means: Administrative Burden

    Professor Don Moynihan on how administrative burden has become a deliberate policy tool affecting millions of lives through confusing paperwork.

    Zero-Click Government, Gustavo Moreira Maia

    The Book

    The book that started the debate

    Gustavo Moreira Maia

    Zero-Click Government explores how the State can move from reactive bureaucracy to anticipatory public services, and what institutional, political and normative conditions this transition demands.

    "While the State depends on the citizen as the main integrator of its own information, its capacity to act in a coordinated, preventive and equitable manner will remain restricted."

    Community

    A global community

    Policymakers, researchers and practitioners working to redesign the State.

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    Government Partners

    Support the Institute

    The institute is supported by philanthropic organizations, research partners and institutions interested in the future of public services.

    Institutional Support

    Become a partner

    Follow the ideas shaping the future of government

    Join a global community discussing the future of anticipatory states.

    "The world is already going through this transformation. The question is how to do it without repeating the logics that produced waiting, exclusion and fragmentation, and without losing sight of building a State capable of reaching people before the damage consolidates."